A rounded base that recovers to roughly its starting level, followed by a small shallow pullback near the rim before the breakout.
A rounded rather than V-shaped base, a recovery to near the left rim, then a handle that retraces only a fraction of the cup depth. The trigger is a close above the rim.
Cups are excluded from our headline track record because they were added later and their admission rules differed. The backtested figure below is real; treat it as a separate measurement from the live board.
These are our own measurements, not textbook claims. A call counts as a win if price closed 5% in favour before it wicked 5% against, measured from the confirming close over the following 30 days. Everything that resolved is counted, including the failures.
| Population | Resolved | Hit rate | What it means |
|---|---|---|---|
| Backtested and resolved | 279 | 48% | Same detector replayed over history. Not the published record. |
Live and backtested are different populations and should not be averaged. The live figure is the one that came from calls published in public before the move. See every live and past call on the Chart Patterns board.
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